{"id":946,"date":"2023-09-03T10:13:07","date_gmt":"2023-09-03T10:13:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/?p=946"},"modified":"2023-09-03T10:13:07","modified_gmt":"2023-09-03T10:13:07","slug":"suriye-ic-savasinda-cozumsuzluk-cozumu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/?p=946","title":{"rendered":"Suriye i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rauf KARAKO\u00c7AN<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Suriye\u2019de i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2011 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri yap\u0131lan b\u00fct\u00fcn askeri, siyasi m\u00fcdahaleler b\u00f6lge halklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dcrd\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki Dera kentinde i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n ilk k\u0131v\u0131lc\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7ak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flerin bu kerteye gelece\u011fini ve uluslararas\u0131 bir boyut kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kimse tahmin etmemi\u015fti. Dera\u2019daki protesto g\u00f6sterilerine Suriye rejimin m\u00fcdahalesi sert oldu ve 4 g\u00f6sterici ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 yitirdi.\u00a0 Protestolara rejim g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin silahl\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesi i\u015fe yaramad\u0131, olaylar durulmad\u0131, tam tersine b\u00fct\u00fcn kentlere yay\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

2012 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u015eubat ay\u0131nda Suriye meselesi Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler (BM) G\u00fcvelik Konseyi\u2019nin g\u00fcndemine geldi. Konseye \u00f6zetle Esad\u2019\u0131n istifas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren bir tasar\u0131 sunuldu. Rusya ve \u00c7in tasar\u0131y\u0131 veto etti. Ard\u0131ndan bat\u0131l\u0131 \u00fclkeler Suriye\u2019deki muhalif guruplar\u0131 destekleyip, \u00e7e\u015fitli g\u00fc\u00e7leri bir araya getirerek koalisyon kurdular. Zamanla g\u00f6steriler Suriye\u2019nin geneline yay\u0131ld\u0131. Halep ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok yerde \u00e7ok \u015fiddetli \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar meydana geldi. Muhaliflerin h\u00e2kim oldu\u011fu Do\u011fu Guta\u2019da \u015fiddet zirve yapt\u0131. \u015eam merkeze yak\u0131n ve \u015eam y\u00f6netimini tehdit eder hale gelen Do\u011fu Guta\u2019ya 2013 y\u0131l\u0131nda kimyasal silahlar at\u0131ld\u0131. Suriye sava\u015f\u0131 geri d\u00f6n\u00fclmez bir noktaya ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131. Ayn\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n \u015eubat\u2019\u0131nda \u0130ran, i\u00e7 sava\u015fa dahil oldu\u011funu duyuran ilk \u00fclke oldu.<\/p>\n

2014 y\u0131l\u0131 itibar\u0131yla DA\u0130\u015e, ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi kanl\u0131 eylemler, Irak ve Suriye’de ele ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi topraklar ile ad\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u00e7a duyurmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Ve Suriye i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaos ortam\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a yararland\u0131. Suriye i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 DAI\u015e ile birlikte farkl\u0131 bir mecraya ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131. 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise Rusya sava\u015fa m\u00fcdahil oldu. T\u00fcrkiye-KDP ve Katar ise ba\u015fka bir kulvardan i\u00e7 sava\u015fa dahil oldular. Muhaliflerin bir kesimini finanse ettiler, e\u011fittiler ve sava\u015fa s\u00fcrd\u00fcler.<\/p>\n

Riyad, M\u00fcsl\u00fcman karde\u015flerden gelecek tehlikeleri bertaraf etmek i\u00e7in \u00dcrd\u00fcn \u00fczerinden baz\u0131 muhalif guruplar\u0131 destekleyerek sava\u015fa dahil oldu. ABD ve bat\u0131 zaten ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri sava\u015f\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 haline geldiler. Rejimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131lar. Suriye i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131 b\u00f6ylece uydu sava\u015flar\u0131 alan\u0131na d\u00f6nd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Kobane ve Raqqa direni\u015fleriyle DAI\u015e fiilen yenilgiye u\u011frat\u0131ld\u0131. K\u00fcrtler DAI\u015e\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadelede tarih yazd\u0131lar. DAI\u015e ve benzeri \u00e7ete guruplar\u0131n\u0131n yenilgisinden sonra cihat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n bayra\u011f\u0131n\u0131 T\u00fcrk devleti ald\u0131. \u0130llegal \u0130slami \u00e7ete \u00f6rg\u00fctlerin s\u00f6zc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve temsilcili\u011fini fa\u015fist Erdo\u011fan iktidar\u0131 \u00fcstlenmi\u015f oldu. \u00c7eteleri \u0130dlib\u2019de toplayarak onlara \u00fcs alan\u0131 olu\u015fturdu. Carablus-Bab-Azez alanlar\u0131ndan sonra \u00cafr\u00een, Ser\u00eakan\u00eey\u00ea ve Gir\u00ea Sip\u00ee\u2019yi i\u015fgal ederken, g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze kadar da her t\u00fcrl\u00fc sava\u015f su\u00e7unu i\u015flemeye devam etti.<\/p>\n

Yukarda \u00f6zetlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z Suriye\u2019nin durumunda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme dair kayda de\u011fer bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fildir. Siyasette de sava\u015fta da ciddi bir t\u0131kanma ya\u015fanmaktad\u0131r. BM, Rusya, \u0130ran, ABD, Avrupa, T\u00fcrkiye, Arap \u00fclkeleri, Suriye rejimi velhas\u0131l sava\u015fa i\u015ftirak eden b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u00fcdahil g\u00fc\u00e7lerin uzla\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 nokta \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fckt\u00fcr. \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olarak dayat\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. S\u00f6zde bar\u0131\u015f ve \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131 asl\u0131nda bir yalandan ibarettir.<\/p>\n

Senaryo \u00e7ok ama \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yok<\/strong><\/p>\n

Son d\u00f6nemlerde yap\u0131lan yorumlar\u0131 k\u0131smen teyit eden geli\u015fmeler olsa da asl\u0131nda Suriye i\u00e7in aktif siyaset \u015fimdilik S\u00fcmen alt\u0131 edilmi\u015f durumdad\u0131r. Sahadaki geli\u015fmeleri okurken hesaba katt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z g\u00fc\u00e7ler mevcut durumu kendi lehlerine \u00e7evirme m\u00fccadelesi i\u00e7inde \u00e7aba harcamaya devam etmektedirler.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye-KDP-ENKS cephesi, Rojava devrimini bo\u011fma giri\u015fimleriyle me\u015fgul. Esad\u2019\u0131 devirme senaryosunu rafa kald\u0131rarak gerekti\u011finde Esad\u2019la anla\u015fmay\u0131 g\u00f6ze alarak Rojava i\u015fgalini tamamlayarak kal\u0131c\u0131 hale getirmeyi hedefliyor. Uzun laf\u0131n k\u0131sas\u0131 \u00f6zerk y\u00f6netimin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na son vermeyi hedefliyor.\u00a0 Uygun konjonkt\u00fcr\u00fcn yakalanmas\u0131 halinde yeni alanlar\u0131 i\u015fgal etme stratejisini devreye sokacakt\u0131r.\u00a0 Misaki Milliyi\u00a0 g\u00fcney K\u00fcrdistan\u2019\u0131 ve Rojava\u2019y\u0131 i\u015fgal ederek tamamlamak istemektedir.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6lgede ya\u015fanan bu kaotik ortam, DAI\u015e\u2019\u0131n uyuyan h\u00fccrelerini yeniden aktif hale getirmektedir. Suriye\u2019de, Irak\u2019da giderek artan DA\u0130\u015e sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 da bunun br g\u00f6stergesidir.<\/p>\n

Birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce QSD\u2019nin Dere Zor\u2019da ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 operasyon da DAI\u015e\u2019in sald\u0131r\u0131 ve sald\u0131r\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 bir cevap niteli\u011findedir.<\/p>\n

Suriye i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen siyasi-askeri manevralarda Esad y\u00f6netiminin pay\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen ise her hal\u00fck\u00e2rda devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Rusya ve \u0130ran\u2019a dayanarak ayakta kalan Esad y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i alternatif, Kuzey ve Do\u011fu Suriye \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netimiyle var\u0131lacak \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kendisini yat\u0131rmas\u0131d\u0131r. Aksi taktirde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olacak, belki de kaybetti\u011fi topraklarla s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fecek, uzun vadede iktidar\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmekten ve Suriye halklar\u0131na daha fazla ac\u0131 ya\u015fatmaktan ba\u015fka i\u015fe yaramayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Tek \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm, ortak Suriye vurgusu alt\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerin devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, Suriye halklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zg\u00fcr iradesini yans\u0131tan, bir arada ya\u015fama projesidir. Demokratik toplum in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmektir. Gerisi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcms\u00fczl\u00fck \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rauf KARAKO\u00c7AN Suriye\u2019de i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2011 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri yap\u0131lan b\u00fct\u00fcn askeri, siyasi m\u00fcdahaleler b\u00f6lge halklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131na olmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dcrd\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki Dera kentinde i\u00e7 sava\u015f\u0131n ilk k\u0131v\u0131lc\u0131mlar\u0131 \u00e7ak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flerin bu kerteye gelece\u011fini ve uluslararas\u0131 bir boyut kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kimse tahmin etmemi\u015fti. Dera\u2019daki protesto g\u00f6sterilerine Suriye rejimin m\u00fcdahalesi sert oldu ve 4 g\u00f6sterici ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 yitirdi.\u00a0 Protestolara rejim g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":947,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hakikat-rejimi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/946","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=946"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/946\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":948,"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/946\/revisions\/948"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/947"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tirki.komunar.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}